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TS Lorenzo forms, to become hurricane Wednesday; no immediate threat to islands

By St. Lucia Met. Services

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Photo: National Hurricane Center

12:00 noon Weather Report
Date: 23rd September 2019
Forecasters: Webster Gajadhar / Hyacinthia Camille

Present weather at Hewanorra Airport is cloudy.
Present weather at GFL Charles Airport is cloudy with showers.
Present temperature at Hewanorra Airport is 30 °C or 86 °F.
Last night’s minimum temperature at Hewanorra Airport was 27 °C or 81 ° F.
Wind at Hewanorra Airport is blowing from the south at 15 mph or 24 km/h.

Rainfall in the 24-hour period that ended at 8:00 am today:
At Hewanorra Airport: 3.7 mm. At GFL Charles Airport: 5.3 mm.
Total rainfall for the month of September so far:
At Hewanorra Airport: 94.6 mm. At GFL Charles Airport: 155.6 mm.

Sunset today: 5:59 pm. Sunrise tomorrow: 5:53 am.

FORECAST FOR SAINT LUCIA VALID FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS
Winds will be blowing from between the southeast and south near 20 mph or 31 km/h, with occasional gusts.
Weather: Partly cloudy to cloudy at times with some scattered showers, some of which may be heavy, and a chance of isolated thunderstorms.

Residents and motorists in areas prone to flooding and landslides are advised to continue to be vigilant and exercise caution.

MARINE FORECAST FOR SEAS IN A 25 MILE OR 40 KM RADIUS FROM SAINT LUCIA
Tides for Castries Harbour: High at 12:06 pm…Low at 4:03 pm.
Tides for Vieux Fort Bay: High at 1:13 pm…Low at 5:30 pm.
Seas: Moderate to locally rough with waves and swells 5 to 7 feet or 1.5 to 2.1 metres.

Small craft operators and sea bathers are advised to continue to exercise caution due to brisk winds and above normal seas.

FORECAST FOR THE LESSER ANTILLES
Partly cloudy to cloudy with scattered moderate to heavy showers and isolated thunderstorms.

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
Moisture and instability trailing Tropical Storm Karen will continue to cause cloudiness, showers and isolated thunderstorms over the Lesser Antilles.

At 11:00 am today the center of Tropical Storm Karen was located near latitude 14.9 north, longitude 64.8 west or about 260 miles or 420 kilometers west-northwest of Saint Lucia. Karen is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph or 19 km/h, and this general motion is forecast to continue today. A turn toward the north is expected on Tuesday. On the forecast track, the center of Karen will move across the eastern Caribbean Sea through today and pass near or over Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands Tuesday morning. Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph or 65 km/h with higher gusts. Little overall change in strength is forecast during the next 48 hours. Tropical storm warnings are in effect for the Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico. Interests elsewhere in the Lesser Antilles should continue to monitor the progress of Karen.

A tropical wave located over the central tropical Atlantic is moving westward near 12 mph or 19 km/h.

…Tropical Depression Thirteen has become better organized and is now Tropical Storm Lorenzo…
At 11:00 am today, the center of Tropical Storm Lorenzo was located over the eastern tropical Atlantic near latitude 11.1 north, longitude 24.1 west and is moving westward near 18 mph or 30 km/h. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph or 65 km/h with higher gusts. Additional strengthening is forecast, and Lorenzo is expected to become a hurricane by Wednesday. This system is expected to remain over the open Atlantic Ocean during the next five days.

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